Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.659919 0.856032 1.077801 1.343920 1.651395 1.992469 2.396361
2025-03-09 0.428711 0.683094 1.007961 1.438264 1.978641 2.621146 3.429021
2025-03-16 0.256157 0.516150 0.894050 1.444317 2.188093 3.124586 4.358626
2025-03-23 0.173706 0.439381 0.873176 1.555608 2.531094 3.811112 5.553377
2025-03-30 0.112306 0.366541 0.834858 1.627684 2.819067 4.438646 6.703159
2025-04-06 0.067426 0.297630 0.780765 1.660276 3.045199 4.988773 7.771053
2025-04-13 0.033664 0.224693 0.694615 1.621554 3.154181 5.375026 8.628480
2025-04-20 0.017054 0.180164 0.647525 1.636157 3.337948 5.867683 9.640928
2025-04-27 0.007702 0.144927 0.606831 1.652033 3.518979 6.358161 10.660199
2025-05-04 0.002064 0.105915 0.539050 1.602123 3.583205 6.673335 11.436900
2025-05-11 0.000210 0.074632 0.474245 1.543346 3.622245 6.945976 12.154534
2025-05-18 0.000001 0.057846 0.444099 1.550775 3.773135 7.391429 13.129525
2025-05-25 NaN 0.039691 0.396064 1.511132 3.840346 7.715844 13.948516
2025-06-01 NaN 0.035168 0.402216 1.600933 4.151435 8.437546 15.374435
2025-06-08 NaN 0.025438 0.374285 1.601105 4.293033 8.891380 16.410831
2025-06-15 NaN 0.023893 0.390343 1.716919 4.661965 9.723569 18.032333
2025-06-22 NaN 0.020392 0.391264 1.792116 4.954847 10.438212 19.488338
2025-06-29 NaN 0.015677 0.377981 1.825941 5.166999 11.024441 20.758793
2025-07-06 NaN 0.009573 0.340759 1.784142 5.223656 11.352130 21.638316
2025-07-13 NaN 0.006593 0.324247 1.799467 5.395775 11.876024 22.826941
2025-07-20 NaN 0.004407 0.309326 1.816268 5.570242 12.406175 24.031494
2025-07-27 NaN 0.002026 0.275230 1.762961 5.591804 12.673549 24.829167
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000679 0.241373 1.700187 5.586423 12.891401 25.550047